Latest Thoughts

Playbook For A Fed Pivot

Recent inflation data has tempered expectations for future Federal Reserve tightening, including a potential peak in the terminal rate near 5.0% in May or June of 2023. ...

Federal Reserve Preview: Trick Or Treat?

With a series of important economic indicators suggesting the economy is declining and inflation is finally decelerating, albeit very slowly, markets are beginning to factor in that the Fed may soon transition to a less aggressive stance in early 2023. ...

Calendar Cruelty

The difficullt 2022 for stocks may not get much easier because as we now wait for better news on the inflation front, we have to contend with a seasonally weak month of September. ...

Case For Recession Weakens

The market pundits remain intensely focused on the question of whether the U.S. economy is in or about to enter a recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. ...

Managing Volatility

Markets rarely give us clear skies, and there are always threats to watch for on the horizon, but the right preparation, context, and support can help us navigate anything that may lie ahead. ...