Weekly Commentary

Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Preview: Growth Returns?

We believe the earnings recession may have ended in the third quarter. We expect potential upside to third quarter estimates due to supportive economic data, stable oil prices, and U.S. dollar stability. We will be watching closely to gauge the confidence of management teams in...

Five Forecasters: Few Warning Signs

Our Five Forecasters are collectively sending mostly mid-cycle signals. The Leading Economic Index, yield curve, and market breadth are all signaling the continuation of the economic expansion and bull market. Stock market valuations and the ISM Manufacturing Index are flashing some warning signs that...